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Tag: intelligence

H-Diplo | ISSF Roundtable 14-5: Zegart, Spies, Lies and Algorithms: The History and Future of American Intelligence

November 28, 2022November 15, 2022 By Amy Zegart, Carleigh Cartmell, Sarah-Jane Corke, Erik Dahl, Rhodri Jeffreys-Jones

Amy Zegart’s book Spies, Lies and Algorithms: The History of Future of American Intelligence, provides a well-written and easy to read overview of the multiplicities of American intelligence; everything from what intelligence is, to intelligence in classrooms and the effects of “spytainment,” and of course, intelligence of the digital age. Zegart describes the initial concept…

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Article Review 119 on “Proof of the Bomb: The Influence of Previous Failure on Intelligence Judgments of Nuclear Programs.”

June 14, 2019June 7, 2019 By Spencer D. Bakich

At the heart of effective statecraft lies the burden of ascertaining the best available truth about the capabilities and intentions of a state’s allies and adversaries. Equal to the high stakes of intelligence performance is the difficulty of the tasks involved. The importance of knowing one’s enemies confronts the enemies of intelligence in a contest…

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Roundtable 10-15 on Intelligence Success and Failure: The Human Factor

June 4, 2018June 3, 2018 By Erik Dahl, Jeffrey A. Friedman, Genevieve Lester, Joshua Rovner, Keren Yarhi-Milo, Uri Bar-Joseph, Rose McDermott

For decades, political scientists have been taught that it is dangerous if not forbidden to search on the dependent variable. By looking only at cases in which the effect of interest occurs, we cannot infer causation because the factors that we think are powerful may be only necessary conditions, which means that they can be…

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Roundtable 8-19 on Near and Distant Neighbors: A New History of Soviet Intelligence

August 1, 2016November 20, 2019 By Robert Jervis, Paul R. Pillar, Robert Pringle, David R. Stone, Jonathan Haslam

If intelligence has now received sufficient attention so that it is no longer the hidden dimension of international politics, Soviet intelligence still fits this categorization. Our three reviewers welcome Jonathan Haslam’s lively overview of the subject and commend him for drawing on so many of the documents which, although revealing as far as they go,…

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Article Review 54 on “Analytic Outreach for Intelligence: Insights from a Workshop on Emerging Biotechnology Threats.”

May 18, 2016February 2, 2017 By John C. Baker

What are preferred ways for members of the academic community to undertake analytic outreach with their counterparts in the intelligence community on important issues, such as emerging biotechnology threats? What are the impediments and opportunities most likely to shape a productive engagement between academic scholars and intelligence analysts on the topics of assessing biotechnology trends…

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Forum 10 on “A Decade of EU Counter-Terrorism and Intelligence: A Critical Assessment”

October 25, 2015November 20, 2019 By Javier Argomaniz, Oldrich Bures, and Christian Kaunert, Charlotte Heath-Kelly, Hendrik Hegemann, Alex Marshall, Sir David Omand

The Treaty on the European Union (EU) stipulates that one of the key objectives of the Union is to provide citizens with a high level of safety within an Area of Freedom, Security and Justice (AFSJ). Given that the fight against terrorism is a prominent aspect of this general objective, it is remarkable that, in…

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Roundtable 7-19 on Knowing the Adversary: Leaders Intelligence and Assessment of Intentions in International Relations

July 13, 2015September 14, 2020 By H-Diplo

How political leaders and their intelligence agencies assess the long-term intentions of their adversaries in international politics, how their assessments change in response to changes in the adversary’s capabilities or behavior, and the extent to which political leaders rely on their intelligence agencies are old questions in the study of international relations. The assessment of…

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Forum 4 on “An INS Special Forum: Implications of the Snowden Leaks”

February 3, 2015September 14, 2020 By H-Diplo

From the very beginning of the nation’s history, intelligence has been set aside as a conspicuous exception to James Madison’s advocacy of checks-and-balances, spelled out in his Federalist Paper No. 51. The ‘auxiliary precautions’ that this key participant at the Constitutional Convention in 1787 (and later America’s fourth President) — the safeguards he had helped…

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Roundtable 3-17 on Fixing the Facts: National Security and the Politics of Intelligence

July 9, 2012September 28, 2015 By ISSF editor

The U.S. intelligence failures associated with 9/11 and with Iraqi weapons of mass destruction generated renewed interest in the question of intelligence failure, the study of which had been disproportionately influenced by the study of the failures at Pearl Harbor, Barbarossa, and Yom Kipper.[1] The Iraqi WMD case in particular focused more attention on the…

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Roundtable 3-15 on Intelligence and U.S. Foreign Policy: Iraq, 9/11, and Misguided Reform

June 4, 2012January 22, 2021 By H-Diplo

Intelligence is an odd area of study.  While it has always been fascinating to the general public, until recently it was the “missing dimension” of foreign policy, ignored by serious scholars because information was lacking and it had the stigma of being the playground for cranks if not frauds.  The increasing availability of documents, a…

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